Group stage is complete. 16 teams are already eliminated, 3 more Round of 32 matches kick off today, and the Round of 16 bracket is starting to take shape. Live Polymarket odds for every remaining match.
Three Round of 32 matches kick off today. Live win/draw/win Polymarket odds below.
Seven Round of 32 matches are already in the books. Norway needed penalties; France, Brazil and Mexico were the biggest winners.
| Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28 | 1–2 | Los Angeles Stadium | |
| Jun 29 | 3–0 | Houston Stadium | |
| Jun 29 | 2–1 | Boston Stadium | |
| Jun 29 | 2–0 | Estadio Monterrey | |
| Jun 30 | 1–1 (Norway wins 5–4 pens) | Dallas Stadium | |
| Jun 30 | 3–1 | New York NJ Stadium | |
| Jun 30 | 2–1 | Mexico City Stadium |
Eliminated in the Round of 32 so far: South Korea, Tunisia, Scotland, Morocco, Ivory Coast, Egypt, Senegal.
Six matches left to complete the Round of 32, including the standout Portugal vs Argentina clash.
| Date | Match | Win Prob. | Venue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2 · 3:00 PM | Switzerland 50% | Los Angeles Stadium | Trade | |
| Jul 2 · 7:00 PM | Uruguay 40% | Toronto Stadium | Trade | |
| Jul 2 · 11:00 PM | Iran 38% | BC Place, Vancouver | Trade | |
| Jul 3 · 2:00 PM | USA 52% | Dallas Stadium | Trade | |
| Jul 3 · 6:00 PM | Spain 83% | Miami Stadium | Trade | |
| Jul 3 · 9:30 PM | Argentina 47% | Kansas City Stadium | Trade |
Jul 3's Portugal vs Argentina is the tie of the round — two former champions meet three rounds earlier than the bracket "should" allow, guaranteeing an early exit for one heavyweight.
Four Round of 16 matchups are already locked in from completed Round of 32 games.
Germany and Netherlands — both group winners — already collide in the Round of 16, guaranteeing an early exit for one of the pre-tournament top-10 favorites.
Final group-stage standings and the complete knockout bracket.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Eliminated (missed best-3rd) |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Eliminated |
South Korea eliminated Canada's group-B path was tougher, but it was South Korea who fell to Canada in the Round of 32, 1–2.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Qatar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Eliminated (missed best-3rd) |
| 4 | DR Congo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Eliminated |
Co-hosts Canada beat South Korea 2–1 in the Round of 32 and now face Brazil in the Round of 16.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Advanced (best 3rd) |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Brazil swept the group 3–0. Morocco fell to the Netherlands (0–2) and Scotland lost to Germany (1–2) in the Round of 32.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Advanced (best 3rd) |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Host nation USA topped the group and now face Ghana on Jul 3 for a place in the Round of 16.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Advanced (best 3rd) |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Germany beat Scotland 2–1 in the Round of 32 and now meet fellow group winner Netherlands in the Round of 16.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Eliminated (missed best-3rd) |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Eliminated |
Netherlands beat Morocco 2–0 in the Round of 32; Tunisia fell 0–3 to Brazil.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Plays Algeria today |
| 2 | Iran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Eliminated (R32, lost to France 1–3) |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Iran face Australia on Jul 2; Belgium face Algeria today in San Francisco.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Plays Paraguay Jul 3 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Plays Croatia Jul 2 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Plays England today |
| 4 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Every team but Cape Verde is still alive from Group H — the tournament's best-performing group so far.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Advanced (R32) |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Advanced (R32) |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Eliminated (R32, lost to Mexico 1–2) |
| 4 | Suriname | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Norway needed penalties past Ivory Coast; France cruised past Egypt 3–1. The pair now meet each other in the Round of 16.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Plays Portugal Jul 3 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Plays Colombia today |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Plays Belgium today |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
Defending champions Argentina drew Portugal in the Round of 32 — a genuine title-favorite collision three rounds early.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Plays Argentina Jul 3 |
| 2 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Plays Austria today |
| 3 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Eliminated (missed best-3rd) |
| 4 | New Caledonia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Eliminated |
Portugal's reward for topping Group K: a Round of 32 date with defending champions Argentina.
| # | Team | Pld | W | D | L | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Plays Saudi Arabia today |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Plays Uruguay Jul 2 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Plays USA Jul 3 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Eliminated |
England swept the group and face Saudi Arabia today, with the winner set to meet host nation Mexico in the Round of 16.
Each World Cup match has up to 6 separate Polymarket markets. Here's how to navigate and trade them.
Go to Polymarket and search for the specific match (e.g. "Portugal vs Argentina 2026"). Each game has a dedicated market page showing all available outcomes.
Choose from Win/Draw/Win, Over 2.5 Goals, BTTS, First Goal Scorer, or Correct Score. Each is a separate YES/NO market with its own price and liquidity.
Enter how many shares to buy. Each share costs the market price in USDC and pays out $1.00 if correct. Review your potential profit before confirming.
After the match, correct markets resolve automatically using official results. Winning shares pay $1.00 each to your wallet within hours of the final whistle.
The six most-traded World Cup match market types on Polymarket — and how experienced traders approach each.
The most basic match market. Three separate Polymarket pools: home win, draw, or away win. Prices should sum to ~100%. Best for high-conviction directional bets on strong favorites.
Will 3 or more total goals be scored? High-volume market with deep liquidity. Historically 52% of World Cup games go over 2.5. Look for high-probability favorites vs. weak defenses.
Will both sides find the net? BTTS YES trades at 40–60% for most knockout matches. Stronger when a trailing team pushes numbers forward late in a game.
High-upside prop with top strikers priced at 10–20%. Key edge: Polymarket may lag when a late team-sheet change puts a prolific striker on the bench. Watch for lineup news.
When a strong favorite is priced at 80%+, their moneyline offers low value. Instead, bet on them winning by 2+ goals via the handicap market for better risk/reward ratios.
Polymarket prices update in real time during matches. If a 60% favorite goes 1–0 down, their "Win" price crashes to 25–30% — a potential value entry if you believe they'll recover.
Yes. Polymarket creates match-outcome markets for all 104 FIFA World Cup 2026 games, including all 72 group-stage matches and all 32 knockout games. Knockout markets open as soon as the matchup is confirmed, typically within hours of the preceding round concluding.
For major matches, Polymarket typically offers: Win/Draw/Win (three separate markets), Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), First Goal Scorer (multiple player markets), Correct Score, and which team advances. Finals and semifinals have the deepest market selection.
Match markets on Polymarket typically resolve within 2–6 hours of the final whistle. The resolution process uses UMA Protocol's optimistic oracle: a result is submitted on-chain and, if unchallenged for 2 hours, settles automatically. Extra time and penalties count for "match winner" markets.
Yes. Polymarket is a live order book — you can sell YES or NO shares at any time before resolution, provided there are buyers at your price. Match prices often move significantly as kick-off approaches.
"Match winner" markets in the knockout stage account for extra time and penalty shootouts — the team that advances is the resolution outcome. Regulation-time markets like "90-minute result" resolve strictly on the 90-minute score, as seen with Ivory Coast vs Norway (1–1 after 90, Norway advanced on penalties).