France vs Honduras 
France are ~88% favorites to beat Honduras in their Group E opener at the 2026 World Cup. Below: the live Polymarket win/draw/win odds, a full match preview and a direct link to trade this market.
6:00 PM ET · Rose Bowl, Los Angeles · Last updated: June 11, 2026
Market-implied win/draw/win probability and the equivalent decimal odds.
| Outcome | Probability | Decimal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
France win Favorite | 88% |
1.14× | Trade |
| ⚖️ | Draw | 9% |
11.11× | Trade |
|
Honduras win | 3% |
33.33× | Trade |
* Indicative Polymarket prices as of June 11, 2026 — not the exact live market price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading.
France could hardly ask for a gentler opener. At 88% they are among the shortest-priced teams of the entire first round, and with Kylian Mbappe leading a frightening attacking line, anything other than a comfortable win would be a major shock. Honduras qualified through CONCACAF as underdogs and will set up to defend deep, frustrate and hope for a set piece or a counter-attack. For France the real questions are the margin of victory and how much manager rotation we see; both market and manager expect them to control the game from the first whistle. Watch France's tempo — if they move the ball quickly they should create chances at will. Group E also contains Senegal and Denmark, so Les Bleus will want goals and a clean sheet to bank early momentum and goal difference before their sterner tests. For the market, the only real interest is the goals line rather than the result, which looks all but settled.
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