Group A
England ~48%
USA ~34%
Iran
Panama
England's depth makes them favorites, but co-host USA have the crowd and the legs to push the group to the wire. The Jun 22 USA–England clash likely decides top spot.
Trade Group A winner →Group B
Mexico ~42%
Ecuador ~26%
Poland
Saudi Arabia
Co-hosts Mexico ride home advantage in front of huge crowds, with a well-drilled Ecuador their closest challenger. Poland lean heavily on their talisman up front.
Trade Group B winner →Group C
Morocco ~46%
Canada ~30%
Ivory Coast
New Zealand
2022 semi-finalists Morocco are the class of the group, with co-hosts Canada and a dangerous Ivory Coast battling for the other knockout berth.
Trade Group C winner →Group D
Spain ~72%
Croatia ~16%
Chile
Paraguay
Tournament favorites Spain should cruise here. Croatia's knockout pedigree makes them the obvious bet to join them in the next round.
Trade Group D winner →Group E
France ~70%
Senegal ~18%
Denmark
Honduras
France have far too much firepower for this group. Senegal and Denmark are well-matched for second, with the Jun 20 France–Senegal game the pick of the fixtures.
Trade Group E winner →Group F
Germany ~74%
Serbia ~15%
Bolivia
Costa Rica
A resurgent Germany are heavy favorites to top the group. Serbia's attacking quality should be enough to edge a tight race for the runner-up spot.
Trade Group F winner →Group G
Brazil ~68%
Switzerland ~18%
Cameroon
Venezuela
Brazil's pace and flair make them clear favorites. Switzerland's tournament reliability gives them the edge over Cameroon and Venezuela for second.
Trade Group G winner →Group H
Portugal ~58%
South Korea ~20%
Ghana
Algeria
Portugal's talent should carry the group, though South Korea, Ghana and Algeria are all capable of an upset on the right day — the most open of the seeded groups.
Trade Group H winner →Group I
Argentina ~55%
Colombia ~26%
Peru
Nigeria
The toughest group of the seeds: holders Argentina headline, but an in-form Colombia make the Jun 25 meeting a potential group-decider. Nigeria are a live dark horse.
Trade Group I winner →Group J
Netherlands ~62%
Austria ~22%
Tunisia
El Salvador
The Netherlands are comfortable favorites, with a much-improved Austria the strongest bet to follow them through to the knockout rounds.
Trade Group J winner →Group K
Belgium ~40%
Uruguay ~34%
Mali
Australia
A genuine two-horse race: Belgium and Uruguay are separated by a whisker, and their Jun 27 head-to-head looks decisive for top spot.
Trade Group K winner →Group L
Norway ~44%
Japan ~38%
Qatar
Kenya
Haaland's Norway and a technically sharp Japan are the clear pair to advance, with the group likely settled between the two of them.
Trade Group L winner →* Group-winner probabilities are indicative market estimates and are not the exact live Polymarket price. Confirm the current price on Polymarket before trading. See the full match schedule and odds for every group fixture.