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👟 Golden Boot market · live on Polymarket

Polymarket World Cup 2026
Top Scorer (Golden Boot) Odds

Market-implied odds for the World Cup 2026 Golden Boot — awarded to the tournament's top goalscorer. Below: the top-10 contenders with decimal-odds equivalents and a link straight to the market.

Last updated: June 11, 2026 · Odds are indicative — confirm the live price on Polymarket.

World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Odds — Top 10

Market-implied probability of winning the Golden Boot and the equivalent decimal odds.

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# Player Country Probability Decimal Odds
1 France Kylian Mbappé Favorite France
14%
7.14× Trade
2 Norway Erling Haaland Norway
12%
8.33× Trade
3 England Harry Kane England
9%
11.11× Trade
4 Spain Lamine Yamal Spain
8%
12.50× Trade
5 Brazil Vinícius Júnior Brazil
6%
16.67× Trade
6 Argentina Julián Álvarez Argentina
5%
20.00× Trade
7 Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal
5%
20.00× Trade
8 France Ousmane Dembélé France
4%
25.00× Trade
9 Brazil Rodrygo Brazil
3%
33.33× Trade
10 Argentina Lautaro Martínez Argentina
3%
33.33× Trade
All other players Field
~31%
View

* Probabilities are market-implied prices from Polymarket's World Cup 2026 Top Scorer market and are indicative only. Top-scorer prices are volatile and swing sharply after big performances or eliminations — always confirm the live price on Polymarket before trading.

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Golden Boot — FAQ

What is the Golden Boot at the World Cup?

The Golden Boot is awarded to the player who scores the most goals across the entire tournament. If players finish level on goals, the tie is broken first by assists, then by fewest minutes played. On Polymarket, the "Top Scorer" market lets you trade on who wins it.

How do I bet on the World Cup top scorer on Polymarket?

Open the Polymarket "World Cup 2026 Top Scorer" market, pick a player and buy shares at the current price. A player trading at 14 cents implies a 14% chance; each winning share pays $1.00 if that player finishes top scorer. You can sell any time before the market resolves. See our beginner's guide for the full walkthrough.

How often are the top scorer odds updated?

About once a week during the group stage and after each knockout round, because prices move sharply when a contender scores a hat-trick or gets knocked out. The date in the heading shows the last manual update — check Polymarket for the exact live price.

Back Your Golden Boot Pick

Mbappé at 14¢, Haaland at 12¢, or a longer-priced dark horse — trade the Top Scorer market at the current price on Polymarket.