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👟 Golden Boot market · live on Polymarket

Polymarket World Cup 2026
Top Scorer (Golden Boot) Odds

Market-implied odds for the World Cup 2026 Golden Boot — awarded to the tournament's top goalscorer. All ten contenders below are still alive heading into the Round of 32. Below: the top-10 with decimal-odds equivalents and a link straight to the market.

Last updated: July 1, 2026 · Odds are indicative — confirm the live price on Polymarket.

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World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Odds — Top 10

Market-implied probability of winning the Golden Boot and the equivalent decimal odds.

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# Player Country Probability Decimal Odds
1 France Kylian Mbappé Favorite · in R16 France
17%
 5.88× Trade
2 Norway Erling Haaland in R16 Norway
15%
 6.67× Trade
3 England Harry Kane plays today England
10%
 10.00× Trade
4 Spain Lamine Yamal plays Jul 3 Spain
10%
 10.00× Trade
5 Brazil Vinícius Júnior in R16 Brazil
8%
 12.50× Trade
6 Argentina Julián Álvarez plays Jul 3 Argentina
6%
 16.67× Trade
7 Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo plays Jul 3 Portugal
6%
 16.67× Trade
8 France Ousmane Dembélé in R16 France
5%
 20.00× Trade
9 Brazil Rodrygo in R16 Brazil
4%
 25.00× Trade
10 Argentina Lautaro Martínez plays Jul 3 Argentina
4%
 25.00× Trade
— ⚽ All other surviving players Field
~15%
 — View

* Probabilities are market-implied prices from Polymarket's World Cup 2026 Top Scorer market and are indicative only. Top-scorer prices are volatile and swing sharply after big performances or eliminations — always confirm the live price on Polymarket before trading.

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Golden Boot — FAQ

What is the Golden Boot at the World Cup?

The Golden Boot is awarded to the player who scores the most goals across the entire tournament. If players finish level on goals, the tie is broken first by assists, then by fewest minutes played. On Polymarket, the "Top Scorer" market lets you trade on who wins it.

How do I bet on the World Cup top scorer on Polymarket?

Open the Polymarket "World Cup 2026 Top Scorer" market, pick a player and buy shares at the current price. A player trading at 14 cents implies a 14% chance; each winning share pays $1.00 if that player finishes top scorer. You can sell any time before the market resolves. See our beginner's guide for the full walkthrough.

How often are the top scorer odds updated?

About once a week during the group stage and after each knockout round, because prices move sharply when a contender scores a hat-trick or gets knocked out. The date in the heading shows the last manual update — check Polymarket for the exact live price.

Back Your Golden Boot Pick

Mbappé at 17¢, Haaland at 15¢, or a longer-priced dark horse — trade the Top Scorer market at the current price on Polymarket.

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